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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/19-7/25)
kalshi

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social during July 19-25?

Volume:
$40,283

At least 5

 - Kalshi

At least 5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 10:00 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,370
N/A
N/A
$2,979
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,041
N/A
N/A
$3,368
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,361
N/A
N/A
$5,363
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,433
N/A
N/A
$4,409
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 15

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,582
N/A
N/A
$4,023
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,973
N/A
N/A
$3,080
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,523
N/A
N/A
$2,473
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event measures the number of political endorsements Donald Trump makes on Truth Social during July 19-25, 2026. An endorsement counts only if it is a clear, affirmative statement of support for a candidate in an election, such as explicitly stating 'I endorse' or 'I support' a named candidate for a specific office.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the total count of distinct individuals endorsed by Donald Trump for election on Truth Social between July 19 and July 25, 2026. An endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support; ambiguous statements do not qualify. Qualifying endorsements include explicit phrases such as 'I endorse [candidate] for [office],' 'I support [candidate]' referencing a political race, 'Vote for [candidate]' publicly, or '[candidate] has my full support' for a specific race. Reaffirmations of prior endorsements count toward the total. If Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same election, each counts separately. A single person cannot be counted more than once within the same week. Posts that merely state a candidate was endorsed without a clear affirmative statement from Trump do not qualify. Resolution outcomes are determined by seven tiered thresholds: at least 3 endorsements, at least 5, at least 10, at least 15, at least 20, at least 25, or at least 50 endorsements.

Frequently asked questions

The Trump Truth Social endorsements market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the number of endorsements former President Trump will post on Truth Social during the week of July 19–25. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and $40,283 in total volume, allowing traders to monitor how sentiment shifts as the week progresses. This market reflects collective predictions about Trump's endorsement activity on his preferred social platform during this specific seven-day window.

Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls typically capture public opinion or stated preferences at a single moment, while this market aggregates real-money forecasts from traders who profit when their predictions prove accurate. For an event like endorsement volume, traditional polls are rarely conducted, so prediction market odds serve as an alternative signal of informed expectation. Traders incorporate news, historical patterns, and current events into their positions, often providing earlier or more dynamic signals than conventional surveys.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for different outcome ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate willingness of traders to accept risk at that level. As new information emerges during the week, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down to reflect changing expectations about how many endorsements will actually be posted.

This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, after the trading week closes. The outcome is determined by counting the total number of endorsements Trump posts on Truth Social between July 19 and July 25, verified against credible public sources and the platform's own records. Once the final count is confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome bracket, and traders' positions are paid out according to their predictions.

Several factors could shift odds in this market: major political announcements or campaign developments that prompt Trump to endorse candidates, breaking news affecting the political landscape, and real-time endorsement counts posted during the week. Traders monitor Truth Social directly for new posts, adjust positions based on emerging patterns, and react to external events like primary elections or policy announcements. Early-week endorsement activity often signals Trump's intended pace, allowing traders to refine their forecasts as the deadline approaches.