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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/21-6/27)
kalshi

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/21-6/27)

Volume:
$20,032

At least 20

 - Kalshi

At least 20 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 10:48 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,259
N/A
N/A
$3,143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,196
N/A
N/A
$2,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
$1,087
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,115
N/A
N/A
$989
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$735
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,813
N/A
N/A
$4,129
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,674
N/A
N/A
$3,464
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the frequency of Donald Trump's political endorsements posted on Truth Social during a specific week in June 2026. An endorsement counts only if it is a clear, affirmative statement of support for a candidate's election, such as explicitly stating "I endorse" or "Vote for" that candidate. Ambiguous statements or graphics merely stating endorsement as fact do not qualify, and each person can only be counted once per week.

Kalshi

Endorsements are counted based on clear, affirmative statements of support for candidates' elections posted on Truth Social from June 21-27, 2026. Qualifying endorsements include explicit statements such as "I endorse [candidate] for [office]," "I support [candidate]" in reference to a political race, "Vote for [candidate]," or "[candidate] has my full support" for a specific race. Reaffirmations of prior endorsements count toward the total, and if Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same election, all are counted. However, ambiguous statements of support do not qualify, and graphics that merely state endorsement as fact without an affirmative statement are excluded. Each person can be counted only once during the specified week. The event resolves based on whether the total endorsement count reaches specified thresholds: at least 3, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, or 50 endorsements.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds and traditional polling serve different purposes. Polls measure stated voter preferences or public opinion at a snapshot in time, while this market aggregates real-money bets from traders who profit only if their forecast proves correct. Markets often incorporate information faster than polls refresh, and traders have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. For this event, market odds reflect collective expectations about a specific, measurable outcome rather than broad sentiment, making them complementary but distinct signals for understanding likely outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction that more endorsements will occur. As new information emerges—such as political news or shifts in Trump's social media strategy—traders adjust their orders, and the market price moves to reflect updated expectations. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay aligned with current market sentiment.

This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the week of June 21–27 concludes and the total number of endorsements posted to Truth Social can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting all posts from the specified account that constitute formal endorsements of candidates, causes, or political figures during that seven-day window. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting and documented social media records, ensuring accuracy and transparency for all traders.

Several catalysts could shift odds in this market. Major political announcements, campaign launches, or primary election developments may prompt increased endorsement activity. Changes in Trump's media strategy or public statements about supporting specific candidates could signal intent to post more endorsements. Breaking news cycles and competitive pressure from other political figures may also influence his social media behavior. Additionally, technical issues or platform policy changes affecting Truth Social could impact posting frequency. Traders monitor these developments closely to adjust positions ahead of the resolution week.