TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/14-6/20)
kalshi

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/14-6/20)

Volume:
$29,810

At least 20

 - Kalshi

At least 20 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 21, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,295
N/A
N/A
$7,531
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,269
N/A
N/A
$3,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,406
N/A
N/A
$1,406
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
$1,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 10

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,438
N/A
N/A
$5,357
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 25

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,211
N/A
N/A
$1,513
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Donald Trump endorses candidates for elected office on Truth Social during the week of June 14-20, 2026. An endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support for a specific candidate in a political race, such as explicitly stating support or urging voters to choose that candidate. Each person can only be counted once per week, though reaffirmations of prior endorsements qualify.

Kalshi

Endorsements are counted based on clear, affirmative statements of support for candidates in political races posted on Truth Social from June 14-20, 2026. Qualifying endorsements include explicit statements like "I endorse [candidate] for [office]," "I support [candidate]" with reference to a specific race, "Vote for [candidate]," or "[candidate] has my full support" for a particular election. Ambiguous statements of support do not qualify, nor do posts that merely state as fact that a candidate was endorsed without an affirmative endorsement statement. Reaffirmations of previously made endorsements count toward the total. If Trump endorses multiple candidates in the same election, each counts separately. Each individual can only be counted once during the specified week, regardless of how many times they are mentioned.

Frequently asked questions

The Trump Truth Social endorsements market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for predictions about how many people Trump will endorse on Truth Social during the week of June 14–20, 2026. The interface displays current implied probability, 24-hour trading volume of $8,901, and cumulative volume of $29,810 across all outcomes. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment as the week progresses and new endorsements are posted, allowing participants to adjust positions based on live market signals.

Prediction markets like this one differ fundamentally from polls. While traditional polls measure stated preferences at a single moment, this market aggregates real-money bets from traders who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. Traders often incorporate news, social media activity, and expert analysis to price outcomes. The odds here reflect collective expectations about endorsement volume, whereas polls typically measure voter sentiment or approval. Market prices can shift rapidly in response to breaking news or Trump's posting patterns, making them more dynamic than snapshot polling data.

This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the trading week closes and the final count of endorsements can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting all endorsements Trump posted on Truth Social between June 14 and June 20, 2026. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting and official records. Traders should monitor Truth Social activity throughout the week to track progress toward each outcome bucket.

Several factors could shift odds significantly. Major political announcements or campaign events may prompt Trump to issue endorsements in concentrated bursts, moving the market sharply upward. Conversely, a quiet news cycle could suppress endorsement activity and push odds downward. Real-time Truth Social posts are the primary signal traders monitor. Media coverage of Trump's endorsement strategy, primary election developments, or shifts in his social media posting frequency could all trigger repricing. Late-week momentum often drives final adjustments as traders lock in positions ahead of resolution.