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402,751

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How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)
kalshi

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/9-8/15)

Volume:
$4,809

At least 1

 - Kalshi

At least 1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 10:00 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,187
N/A
N/A
$2,765
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 3

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
$661
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 5

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
$615
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$341
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the number of nominations President Donald Trump sends to the U.S. Senate within a specific one-week period. The outcome depends on whether the published count meets certain thresholds, with all data sourced from an official government website at a specified time after the period ends.

Kalshi

All markets in this event evaluate the number of nominations Donald Trump sends to the U.S. Senate between August 9, 2026, and August 15, 2026, with resolution based solely on data published on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on August 16, 2026. Each market has a different threshold—ranging from at least 1 to at least 10 nominations—for resolving to 'Yes.' Multiple nominations to the same individual within the period count separately. The rules consistently rely on the official publication dates displayed on the specified government webpage to determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Trump Senate nominations market. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of different nomination counts this week, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The total volume stands at $4,809, and the 24-hour volume is $303, offering insight into participant interest and market movement.

While polling averages offer snapshots of public opinion, this market incorporates a broader range of factors, including insider expectations, legislative schedules, and political strategy. Prediction market odds may diverge from polls due to real-time adjustments based on trading activity and emerging news. Traders often react faster to credible whispers or schedule changes than traditional polls can capture, potentially leading to notable differences in implied probabilities.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of nominations sent to the Senate during the specified week determines the result, based on official government announcements and widely reported news sources. Traders should monitor legislative calendars and press briefings for confirmation as the week progresses.

Key signals include official White House announcements, Senate leadership statements, and media reports on scheduling changes. Any surprise additions or delays to the nomination calendar could shift trader sentiment quickly. Additionally, political developments such as bipartisan negotiations or controversies surrounding specific nominees may influence market expectations, causing volatility as the Aug 16, 2026 deadline approaches.