TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the number of nominations Donald Trump sends to the U.S. Senate within a specific week. The outcome hinges on whether the nomination count meets or exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting expectations about presidential administrative actions and Senate engagement during that timeframe.
The event assesses whether Donald Trump sends a minimum number of nominations to the U.S. Senate from August 30 to September 5, 2026. Data is checked on the "Presidential Actions" page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on September 6. The week spans August 30 to September 5. Multiple nominations for a single individual within the period count separately. The market resolves based on publication dates displayed on the specified page.
Unlike traditional polling averages, this market captures trader sentiment on the expected number of Trump Senate nominations this week. While polls might focus on public opinion toward individual nominees, this market aggregates real-money bets on the total count. Traders may react faster to breaking news or insider signals than pollsters can capture, potentially creating divergence between market odds and polling trends.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact number of nominations sent to the Senate during the specified week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by official White House announcements and Senate records for that period, closing this market definitively.
Key events such as presidential announcements, Senate session schedules, political negotiations, or unexpected delays could shift this market. Traders will watch for White House press briefings, Senate leadership statements, and any major news affecting the administration’s ability to submit nominations. Each update may cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess likely outcomes.