TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the number of nominations Donald Trump sends to the U.S. Senate within a specific week. The outcome hinges on whether the number of nominations meets or exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting expectations about presidential administrative actions and Senate engagement during that time.
The event resolves based on the number of nominations Donald Trump sends to the U.S. Senate from August 23, 2026, to August 29, 2026. The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on August 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a minimum number of nominations, resolving to Yes if the actual count meets or exceeds that threshold. If an individual receives multiple nominations within the period, each counts separately toward the total.
Currently, this market reflects a different outlook than traditional polling averages. While polls may show varied expectations for Senate activity, traders are pricing in specific probabilities based on recent political developments and historical patterns. The gap between these two measures often highlights where market participants differ from public opinion, offering insight into insider expectations for the week.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of nominations sent by Trump to the Senate during the specified week will settle the market, reflecting official government records and widely reported results.
Key signals include official announcements from the White House, statements by Senate leadership, and media reports on upcoming nomination schedules. Unexpected delays, political controversies, or changes in the administration’s agenda could all shift trader sentiment. Any clear indication of how many names Trump plans to submit before the week ends will likely cause rapid price adjustments in this market.