TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The number of judicial or executive nominations a president sends to the Senate in a given week can signal administrative priorities, political strategy, or responses to vacancies. Tracking these nominations offers a view into the pace of governmental appointments and the political dynamics surrounding them. The specified week may see a range of activity depending on the administration’s agenda and Senate calendar.
If Donald Trump has sent at least 2 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 26, 2026 through Aug 1, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Aug 2, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald Trump has sent at least 3 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 26, 2026 through Aug 1, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Aug 2, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald Trump has sent at least 5 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 26, 2026 through Aug 1, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Aug 2, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald Trump has sent at least 10 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Jul 26, 2026 through Aug 1, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Aug 2, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that are more or less aligned with recent polling averages on presidential activity and Senate dynamics. While polls measure public opinion, prediction market odds incorporate broader factors like legislative strategy and timing, often showing a more nuanced outlook on the likelihood of specific outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of nominations sent to the Senate during the specified dates will determine whether the market settles on the 'at least 5' or 'fewer than 5' outcome.
Key signals that could shift this market include official announcements from the White House, Senate leadership updates, major news coverage of scheduling changes, and any unexpected political developments affecting the president’s agenda. Each new signal may cause rapid adjustments in odds as traders reassess the likelihood of different nomination counts.