TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How many jobs added in June?
limitless

How many jobs added in June?

Volume:
$136

100k – 150k

 - Limitless

100k – 150k - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 11:43 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

100k – 150k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

<0

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

0 – 50k

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

50k – 100k

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

150k – 200k

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

200k+

N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from consensus economist forecasts or spot market pricing. While traditional labor market analysts publish median job-addition estimates ahead of the report, this market prices in real-time uncertainty and tail risks that surveys may miss. Comparing the implied probability here to published economist expectations reveals whether traders are pricing in a stronger or weaker jobs print than the consensus view.

On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into continuous probability curves across outcome brackets. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing specific job-addition ranges, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As new information emerges or positions shift, the market reprices dynamically to balance supply and demand.

This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the official June employment data is released and verified. The outcome is determined by the total number of jobs added during the month, as reported in credible public sources. Traders' positions settle based on which outcome bracket the actual figure falls into, with payouts distributed according to the market's rules at that time.

Key catalysts include weekly jobless claims data, manufacturing and services PMI reports, and any unexpected economic announcements that signal labor market strength or weakness. Federal Reserve communications about interest rates can also shift expectations for hiring. As the official report date approaches, pre-release economic data and market sentiment around inflation and consumer spending typically drive significant price movement, with traders adjusting positions based on the likelihood of a stronger or weaker employment outcome.