TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 11:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June 2026, scheduled to be released on July 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into continuous probability curves across outcome brackets. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing specific job-addition ranges, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As new information emerges or positions shift, the market reprices dynamically to balance supply and demand.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the official June employment data is released and verified. The outcome is determined by the total number of jobs added during the month, as reported in credible public sources. Traders' positions settle based on which outcome bracket the actual figure falls into, with payouts distributed according to the market's rules at that time.
Key catalysts include weekly jobless claims data, manufacturing and services PMI reports, and any unexpected economic announcements that signal labor market strength or weakness. Federal Reserve communications about interest rates can also shift expectations for hiring. As the official report date approaches, pre-release economic data and market sentiment around inflation and consumer spending typically drive significant price movement, with traders adjusting positions based on the likelihood of a stronger or weaker employment outcome.