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How many initial jobless claims for the week ending Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

How many initial jobless claims for the week ending Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$26,770

At least 200000

 - Kalshi

At least 200000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 8:25 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 200000

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,331
N/A
N/A
$6,805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 195000

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,390
N/A
N/A
$4,408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 205000

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,372
N/A
N/A
$2,979
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 190000

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 180000

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 185000

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 175000

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 210000

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,965
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 215000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$1,027
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 220000

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
$682
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 225000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Initial jobless claims measure the number of individuals who filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during a specific week. Tracking these claims offers insight into labor market health and economic trends. Higher-than-expected claims often signal potential economic slowdowns or disruptions.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on the total number of initial jobless claims reported for the week ending August 8, 2026. Multiple markets exist with escalating claim thresholds, each resolving to 'Yes' if the actual claims meet or exceed its specific threshold. The outcome for each market depends solely on whether the reported figure reaches the respective threshold, with higher thresholds representing more severe labor market conditions. No other factors influence the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic tracks real-time trading odds and price movements for the upcoming week’s initial jobless claims release. The dashboard shows current top-outcome probabilities, price history charts, and 24-hour volume of $7,540. This visual summary helps traders monitor sentiment and volatility in expectations for U.S. labor market data ahead of the official report.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official initial jobless claims figure for the week ending Aug 8, 2026 is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact number reported by the government will settle all positions, closing the market based on that verified data point.

Economic indicators such as manufacturing PMI, service sector expansion data, and regional employment surveys could shift expectations and move this market. Media coverage of unexpected corporate layoffs or hiring freezes may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any major geopolitical or policy news that impacts U.S. employment could cause rapid price adjustments as the Aug 13, 2026 deadline nears.