TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
How many IMF posts on X this week?
kalshi

How many IMF posts on X this week?

Volume:
$5,831

<11

 - Kalshi

<11 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 12:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

<11

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,804
N/A
N/A
$2,792
Settled
Yes
kalshi

11-15

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,462
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
No
kalshi

16-20

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$871
Settled
No
kalshi

21-25

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

26-35

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

>35

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the activity level of the International Monetary Fund's official account on a social media platform over a specified week. Participants can speculate on whether the account's non-reply posts, including standard updates and shared content, will fall within certain frequency ranges. The outcome depends entirely on the actual count of such posts during the defined period.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the total number of non-reply posts (including original posts, quote posts, and reposts) made by the @IMFNews account on X during the period from August 13, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET through August 20, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. All counts are determined using the X API, which is called every five minutes, and includes deleted posts if they were captured by the API before deletion. Each market corresponds to a specific range of post counts: below 11, 11-15, 16-20, 21-25, 26-35, or above 35. The market with the matching range resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. A third-party tracking page is provided for informational purposes only and does not override the official X API determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the IMF X posts market shows current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,598. It provides a real-time view of trader sentiment and betting activity for this specific economics-focused prediction, allowing users to monitor how the market expects the number of IMF posts on X this week to unfold.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a crowdsourced probability that can diverge significantly based on real-time news, sentiment shifts, and trading dynamics. While analysts may offer detailed economic projections, the market price incorporates a broader range of inputs, including trader expectations about IMF communication strategies and global economic events influencing their posting behavior.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of IMF posts on X for the week is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count will be determined by reviewing the official IMF account activity over the specified period, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process.

Key signals include major economic announcements from the IMF, shifts in global financial sentiment, scheduled or unscheduled addresses by IMF leadership, and broader social media trends affecting X usage. Any unexpected policy updates, crises, or high-profile engagements involving the IMF could quickly shift trader expectations and move this market toward resolution.