TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How many Fed posts on X this week?
kalshi

How many Fed posts on X this week?

Volume:
$4,967

9-11

 - Kalshi

9-11 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 12:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

9-11

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
$1,438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

<9

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,436
N/A
N/A
$2,484
Settled
No
kalshi

12-14

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

15-17

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

18-20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

>20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the activity level of the Federal Reserve's official X account over a specific week. Participants can speculate on whether the account will post, quote post, or repost a certain number of times, excluding replies, during the defined period. The outcome depends entirely on the actual count of these interactions.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the total number of posts, quote posts, and reposts (excluding replies) made by the @federalreserve account on X during the period from August 6, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET through August 13, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Each market corresponds to a specific range of activity levels: below 9, 9–11, 12–14, 15–17, 18–20, or above 20. Resolution is determined using the X API, which captures all qualifying posts, including those later deleted, provided they were posted long enough to be recorded. All range boundaries are inclusive, and any discrepancies between third-party tracking tools and the X API will be resolved in favor of the X API data.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Fed posts on X market tracks the probability that a specific number of Federal Reserve posts will appear on the social media platform X during the current week. The dashboard displays current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $3,707. This real-time view reflects trader sentiment and positioning as they evaluate Fed communication patterns and upcoming economic events.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of official Fed posts on X for that week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count is determined by examining verified Fed accounts and official channels, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process that matches observed events.

Key signals include any unscheduled Fed addresses, major economic announcements, or shifts in communication strategy that could affect posting frequency. Market participants will watch for hints from Fed leaders, economic data releases, and geopolitical developments that might influence the central bank's messaging. Any unexpected activity on X from official Fed accounts could cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.