TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A central bank's digital communication frequency on a popular social network is being measured over a defined timeframe. The count includes original messages, shared content, and reposted items from its official account, but specifically excludes responses to other users' posts.
Markets resolve based on the number of posts, quote posts, and reposts (excluding replies) made by @federalreserve on X during the period from Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Specific ranges correspond to different market outcomes: below 9 times, between 9-11 times, between 12-14 times, between 15-17 times, between 18-20 times, or above 20 times. Activity will be determined using the X API, with deleted posts included if logged before removal. All range boundaries are inclusive.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual number of Fed posts this week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count is based on official Fed channels and widely recognized media sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Key signals include scheduled Fed speeches, unexpected economic data releases, major geopolitical developments, and statements from influential policymakers. Any event that changes market expectations for Fed communication frequency can shift this market’s odds. Traders will also watch for hints from Fed officials about future policy direction, as these may affect the urgency and volume of posts during the remaining days.