TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Economics
How many Fed posts on X this week?
kalshi

How many Fed posts on X this week?

Volume:
$4,596

12-14

 - Kalshi

12-14 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 12:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

12-14

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,134
N/A
N/A
$1,091
Settled
Yes
kalshi

15-17

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,267
N/A
N/A
$754
Settled
No
kalshi

9-11

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,094
N/A
N/A
$714
Settled
No
kalshi

<9

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$511
N/A
N/A
$322
Settled
No
kalshi

18-20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
kalshi

>20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the social media activity of a major financial institution over a specific week. It measures how often the institution shares updates, quotes, or republishes content on a particular platform during a defined period. The outcome depends entirely on the actual number of such interactions.

Kalshi

If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X below 9 times (not including replies) from Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 9-11 times (not including replies) from Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 12-14 times (not including replies) from Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 15-17 times (not including replies) from Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 18-20 times (not including replies) from Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X above 20 times (not including replies) from Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Fed posts on X market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $3,664 as traders bet on how many Federal Reserve posts will appear on X during the week. This dashboard offers a live view of market sentiment and trading activity for this specific economics event.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Fed communication frequency. While analysts may incorporate broader economic indicators, traders in this market react quickly to news, Fed speeches, and market conditions, potentially creating divergence from poll-based or media-derived forecasts.

This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact number of Fed posts on X during the referenced week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count is based on posts originating from verified Fed accounts within the specified timeframe, closing the market definitively.

Several key signals could shift this market before Jul 30, 2026. Official Fed announcements, including press conference schedules or unexpected speeches, may increase posting expectations. Economic data releases affecting monetary policy discussions also play a role. Social media engagement metrics around Fed leaders and major economic headlines can influence trader sentiment. Any surprise changes to the central bank’s communication strategy would likely create rapid price movements as participants reassess likely post volumes for the week.