TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Activity from the central bank's official account on a social networking service will be recorded throughout a week. This includes original messages, shared content with commentary, and simple reposts made initiated by the institution itself. Replies to other accounts' posts will not count toward the total.
If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X below 9 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 9-11 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 12-14 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 15-17 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 18-20 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @federalreserve posts, quote posts, and reposts on X above 20 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of official Federal Reserve posts published on X during the referenced week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count is tallied after the week concludes, using publicly accessible platform data and official Fed records.
Key signals include any unscheduled speeches or press conferences by Federal Reserve officials that could lead to additional X posts, changes in the Fed's communication cadence due to emerging economic data, and technical issues or policy decisions affecting posting schedules. Global events or market volatility may also shift trader expectations and impact odds before resolution.