TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the social media activity of a major financial institution over a specific week. It focuses on how often the institution communicates directly through posts, quote posts, and reposts on a platform, excluding replies. The outcome depends entirely on the total number of these non-reply interactions during the defined period.
The event resolves based on the total number of posts, quote posts, and reposts (excluding replies) made by @federalreserve on X during the period from August 20, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET through August 27, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Each market corresponds to a specific range of activity: below 9 posts resolves the "below 9" market; 9–11 posts resolves the "9–11" market; 12–14 posts resolves the "12–14" market; 15–17 posts resolves the "15–17" market; 18–20 posts resolves the "18–20" market; and above 20 posts resolves the ">20" market. Resolution will be determined using the X API, which checks for all such activities—including deleted posts posted long enough to be captured—every five minutes. All numeric ranges are inclusive of their upper and lower bounds. A third-party tracking page is provided for informational purposes only and does not override the X API as the official resolution source.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact count of Federal Reserve posts on X for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number will be based on official platform data and widely reported news sources.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 27, 2026. Key drivers include unscheduled Fed speeches or press conferences, major economic data releases that prompt Fed commentary, and any surge in Fed-related discussion on X following policy meetings or market volatility. Traders will also watch for viral posts from influential economists or officials that could increase the likelihood of additional Fed messaging this week.