TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How many Fed posts on X this week?
kalshi

How many Fed posts on X this week?

Volume:
$4,267

9-11

 - Kalshi

9-11 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 12:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

9-11

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,020
N/A
N/A
$2,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

<9

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$1,237
Settled
No
kalshi

12-14

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$754
N/A
N/A
$744
Settled
No
kalshi

15-17

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
No
kalshi

18-20

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

>20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the public activity level of a major financial institution on a social media platform over a specific timeframe. It measures how often the institution shares updates, quotes, or republishes content, reflecting its engagement and communication strategy during that period.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of posts, quote posts, and reposts made by @federalreserve on X (excluding replies) between August 13, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET and August 20, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Each market corresponds to a specific range of activity levels, with outcomes determined by counting all qualifying posts captured via the X API. Deleted posts are included if they were posted long enough to be recorded by the API, which updates every five minutes. All range boundaries are inclusive, and any discrepancies between third-party tracking tools and the official X API data will be resolved in favor of the X API methodology.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market currently implies a different likelihood for the number of Fed posts, reflected in its top outcome probability. While analysts may publish their expectations based on economic indicators and policy signaling, traders adjust positions reactively to new information, often producing a more nuanced or contrasting view of likely Fed activity this week.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual count of Fed posts during the specified period is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number will be compared against the market’s defined categories to determine the winning outcome, closing all positions on that date.