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How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/9 - 8/15)
kalshi

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/9 - 8/15)

Volume:
$53,048

Above 0

 - Kalshi

Above 0 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 8:54 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,568
N/A
N/A
$11,580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,223
N/A
N/A
$9,575
Settled
No
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Above 2

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,257
N/A
N/A
$5,094
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the number of formal presidential directives signed within a specific timeframe. It focuses on official documents that carry the weight of law and are publicly recorded. The outcome depends solely on the count of these directives during the designated dates.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of executive orders signed by the President between August 9, 2026, and August 15, 2026. An executive order must be formally titled as such, numbered, signed by the President, published in the Federal Register, and possess the force of law to count. The signing date recorded in the Federal Register determines inclusion, even if publication occurs later. Contracts expire two weeks after the period ends, with possible early expiration if relevant orders are published afterward. All officially designated executive orders, regardless of later revocation or amendment, are included in the count.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump Executive Orders market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $15,059. This visualization helps traders monitor how market participants price expectations for the number of executive orders signed during the specified week. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest activity and sentiment within this market.

While public polling focuses on voter sentiment and approval ratings, this market reflects trader expectations about administrative actions. Prediction market odds often react more quickly to breaking news and policy analysis than traditional polls. The current implied probability shows where traders believe the likelihood of different outcomes stands, which can diverge from broader public opinion captured in surveys.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact count of executive orders signed by the relevant official during the specified week determines the result, based on official government records and reputable news sources that document the actions taken.

Key signals include major policy announcements, political developments, or changes in the administration's agenda that suggest shifts in executive action plans. Media coverage of upcoming meetings, legislative setbacks, or strategic priorities may also influence trader sentiment. Any indication of accelerated or delayed executive activity could cause rapid price adjustments in this market as participants reassess probabilities.