How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/7 - 6/13)

On Kalshi, this event is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific number of executive orders Trump will sign during June 7–13. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares in each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the market's implied probability. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, where a price of 50 cents suggests a 50 percent chance. As new information emerges—such as policy announcements, legislative developments, or statements from the White House—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The outcome with the highest price reflects the market consensus for the most likely number of executive orders during that week.

This market resolves on Jun 27, 2026. Resolution is determined by counting the total number of executive orders formally signed by Trump during the week of June 7–13. The count includes all executive orders, regardless of scope or subject matter, as long as they are officially signed and dated within that window. Once the week closes, the outcome matching the actual count is declared correct, and traders holding shares in that outcome receive their payout. Traders holding shares in incorrect outcomes receive nothing. The resolution is objective and verifiable through official White House records and public documentation.

Several catalysts could shift market odds during the week of June 7–13. Major legislative developments, such as bills passing Congress or court rulings, may prompt executive action. Policy announcements or campaign promises being prioritized could increase the expected order count. Conversely, political constraints, congressional opposition, or competing priorities might lower expectations. International events, economic data, or crises could trigger urgent executive orders. Statements from Trump or his advisors about planned actions would directly influence trader sentiment. Historical patterns of executive order volume during similar periods provide context. Real-time news flow, social media signals, and analyst commentary all feed into trader decisions, causing prices to fluctuate as the week progresses toward resolution.