TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/14 - 6/20)
kalshi

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/14 - 6/20)

Volume:
$20,376

Above 0

 - Kalshi

Above 0 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 11:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,154
N/A
N/A
$3,578
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,253
N/A
N/A
$2,357
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,968
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the number of Executive Orders signed by the President during the week of June 14-20, 2026. Executive Orders are formal presidential directives that carry the force of law and are published in the Federal Register with sequential numbering.

Kalshi

An Executive Order is defined as a numbered presidential directive that is formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as Executive Orders with sequential numbering count toward this event, including those that are later revoked or amended. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to; for example, an order signed on June 20 but published to the Federal Register after the period ends would still count if the Federal Register records the June 20 signing date. The event resolves based on whether the President signs above specified thresholds during June 14-20, 2026. Contract expiration is set for two weeks after the end of the period, though it may be moved to an earlier date if Executive Orders dated beyond the period are posted to the Federal Register.

Frequently asked questions

The Trump executive orders market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for predictions on executive order volume during a specific week. This market displays the current price, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume as traders buy and sell shares based on their expectations. The dashboard lets you monitor how sentiment shifts as news breaks or political developments unfold. By watching the Trump executive orders market, you can see how the prediction community is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes in real time.

Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated preferences at a single moment, while this market aggregates traders' forward-looking expectations and financial incentives. Market odds often diverge from polls because traders are betting real money on outcomes and have strong motivation to price information accurately. For executive order predictions, this market may reflect traders' assessments of political momentum, legislative calendars, and breaking news faster than traditional surveys. Comparing the two can reveal where expert opinion and market sentiment align or diverge.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all active traders about the probability of the event. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, with the midpoint price representing the implied probability. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any moment during the market's active window.

This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the week in question has concluded and the final count is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual number of executive orders signed during the specified period. Resolution hinges on an objective count confirmed through official government records and reputable news reporting. Once the data is finalized and verified, the market will settle and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning outcome.

Several catalysts could shift odds in this market: major legislative victories or defeats that prompt executive action, court rulings affecting presidential authority, staffing changes in key agencies, and breaking political news. Economic data releases, international events, or shifts in congressional dynamics may also influence trader expectations about executive order volume. Real-time announcements from the White House or statements from senior officials can trigger sharp price moves as traders reassess probabilities. Monitoring news flow and political calendars helps explain why odds fluctuate during the trading window.