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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Jun 12, 1:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the President will sign any executive orders during the week of May 31 to June 6, 2026. Executive orders are formal directives issued by the President that have the force of law without requiring Congressional approval. The market essentially measures presidential legislative activity during this specific one-week period.
The event tracks the number of executive orders signed by the President during May 31, 2026 to June 6, 2026 across three thresholds. Resolution occurs if the President signs above 0, above 1, or above 2 executive orders during this period. An executive order must be formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, signed by the President, and published in the Federal Register to count. All officially designated executive orders with sequential numbering count, including those later revoked or amended. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an order belongs to. The contract expires two weeks after the period ends, though expiration may be moved earlier if an executive order dated after the period is published to the Federal Register.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is structured as outcome contracts tied to specific executive order count ranges. Each outcome bracket trades independently, with prices reflecting the probability traders assign to that range occurring. The platform uses a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set prices in real time. Share prices range from near zero to near one dollar, with the sum of all outcome probabilities converging toward 100 percent. As new information surfaces about presidential priorities or legislative timing, traders adjust positions, moving prices to reflect updated forecasts.
This market resolves on Jun 20, 2026, after the trading week of May 31 through June 6 concludes. Resolution depends on the official count of executive orders signed by Trump during that specific seven-day period. The outcome is determined by verified records of presidential action, ensuring a clear, objective settlement. Traders should monitor announcements and official White House documentation as the week progresses to assess which outcome bracket is most likely to be correct at resolution.
Several catalysts could shift market odds during the week of May 31 through June 6. Major legislative deadlines, court rulings, or policy crises may prompt rapid executive action. Announcements about regulatory rollbacks or new initiatives could signal elevated order volume. Conversely, a quiet political week or focus on other priorities might suggest lower activity. Real-time news about staffing changes, congressional negotiations, or international events will influence trader expectations. Historical patterns of executive order timing and any scheduled policy announcements should also be monitored closely as the week unfolds.