TOTAL VOLUME:

$124b

24H VOL:

$82,345,145

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,121,338,658

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,285,568,173

364,467

Markets across

33,191

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,073

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

41%

VS.

Kalshi:

59%

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How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
kalshi
polymarket

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Total volume:
$144,063
Volume 24h:
$9,176
145%
Liquidity:
$17,775
13%
Open interest:
$87,860
2%

3

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 16, 2026

Time left: 06d:08h:54m

How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?

33%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 33% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3

Trade
33%
Yes 35¢No 69¢
4¢
N/A
$15,693
0.19%
28%
$11,334
6d 8h 54m
active
polymarket

3

Trade
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$2,621
$3,131
0.19%
19%
N/A
6d 6h 53m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
32%
Yes 33¢No 69.5¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

4+

Trade
30%
Yes 32¢No 73¢
5¢
$2,093
$952
6%
203%
N/A
6d 6h 53m
active
kalshi

4

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$8,135
4%
24%
$6,713
6d 8h 54m
active
kalshi

1

Trade
14%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
N/A
$15,317
0%
128%
$13,762
6d 8h 54m
active
polymarket

1

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
$3,472
$638
0%
154%
N/A
6d 6h 53m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
14%
Yes 13.5¢No 88.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

2

Trade
14%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$8,151
0%
30%
$5,331
6d 8h 54m
active
polymarket

2

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$3,109
$669
2%
90%
N/A
6d 6h 53m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
12.5%
Yes 11.5¢No 89.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

0

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$63,217
4%
46%
$44,368
6d 8h 54m
active
polymarket

0

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$6,480
$19,048
41%
149%
N/A
6d 6h 53m
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
12.5%
Yes 12.5¢No 88.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

5

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$9,110
10%
30%
$6,351
6d 13h 54m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group tracks the number of dissenting votes at the Federal Reserve's September 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The outcome depends on the official FOMC statement released after the meeting, which details the voting results for the Fed Funds Rate decision.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the exact number of dissenting votes in the official FOMC statement for the September 15-16, 2026 meeting.Primary resolution logic: FOMC’s official statement released after the September 15-16, 2026 meeting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves according to the exact number of dissenting votes recorded on the Fed Funds Rate decision in the official FOMC statement.
  • If no dissenting votes occur, markets resolving to "no dissent" will pay out as Yes; markets resolving to "exactly X dissent" will pay out as No for X > 0.
  • If exactly one dissenting vote occurs, markets resolving to "one dissent" will pay out as Yes; others will pay out as No.
  • If exactly two dissenting votes occur, markets resolving to "two dissent" will pay out as Yes; others will pay out as No.
  • If exactly three dissenting votes occur, markets resolving to "three dissent" will pay out as Yes; others will pay out as No.
  • If four or more dissenting votes occur, markets resolving to "four or more dissent" will pay out as Yes; others will pay out as No.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Ambiguous reporting: If initial reports conflict with the official FOMC statement, the official statement takes precedence.
  • Delayed announcement: If the FOMC statement is delayed beyond the expected date, markets will resolve once the statement is officially released.
Timing: Markets resolve as soon as the FOMC’s official statement for the September meeting is issued, typically within 24 hours of the meeting conclusion. Credible reporting may confirm the result earlier, but the official statement is the definitive source.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kalshi

If there are exactly 0 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If there are exactly 1 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If there are exactly 2 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If there are exactly 3 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. If there are exactly 4 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.