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How many Codex resets week of October 5?
polymarket

How many Codex resets week of October 5?

Volume:
$2,134

3

 - Polymarket

3 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:01 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

3

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4+

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 5, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 11, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on October 5, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on October 11, 2026. Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total. A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences. Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted. An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945. This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Codex resets market tracks the current odds of different outcomes for the number of weekly usage limit resets occurring during the week of October 5. You can view the implied probability of each outcome, along with the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $110. The total volume traded on this market is $2,134. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various reset counts, allowing you to follow market sentiment as new information emerges.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability of four or more Codex weekly usage limit resets occurring during the week of October 5. This contrasts with some initial analyst forecasts which predicted a lower number of resets, anticipating more stable usage patterns. However, recent reports indicate increased activity and potential demand for resets, driving the odds higher. It’s important to note that prediction market participants may have access to different information or interpret data differently than traditional analysts, leading to these discrepancies.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates strong confidence in a higher number of resets, as reflected by the market's top outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual number of Codex weekly usage limit resets during the week of October 5 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official data released by the Codex team, detailing the number of times the usage limit was reset throughout that specific week. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result, with payouts determined by the final market prices at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Announcements from the Codex team regarding changes to usage policies or anticipated demand for resets would be significant catalysts. Unexpected surges in user activity or reports of technical issues impacting Codex usage could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any news related to the broader AI landscape or the adoption of Codex specifically could impact trader expectations and, consequently, the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.