TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 9:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks legislative activity by monitoring how many bills President Trump enacts during a specific month. It focuses on the exact number of bills signed into law, reflecting the pace of presidential action on legislation. The outcome depends purely on the final count of signed bills for that period.
If the President signs exactly 0 bills into law in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the President signs exactly 1 bills into law in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
While public polls measure voter opinions and expectations, this market reflects trader assessments of legislative activity. Prediction market odds often react faster to new political developments and betting patterns, whereas polls provide broader public sentiment snapshots. The two can diverge significantly depending on recent news, legislative session dynamics, and trader risk appetite. Monitoring both offers complementary perspectives on expected government action.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of bills signed by President Trump in August 2026 will be compared against market outcomes at that time. No additional interpretation is needed beyond publicly available government records and news sources.
Key signals include legislative calendar releases, major policy announcements, political crises or victories, and any indication of presidential focus or priorities shifting. Session schedules, committee actions, and high-profile debates can also influence trader expectations. Economic conditions, international events, and unexpected political developments may cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their views on legislative activity in the lead-up to August 2026.