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$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

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$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

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2,622

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5

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How low will ZEC get in July?
kalshi

How low will ZEC get in July?

Volume:
$4,146

Below $380.00

 - Kalshi

Below $380.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below $380.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$988
N/A
N/A
$791
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $350.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$840
N/A
N/A
$689
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $370.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$793
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $340.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$760
N/A
N/A
$260
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $360.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $400.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $390.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $410.00

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks whether Zcash (ZEC) will reach or fall below various price thresholds during July 2026. Traders can bet on ZEC hitting specific low prices at any point during the month through 11:59 PM ET on July 31st.

Kalshi

ZEC price levels are monitored continuously from market issuance through 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026 using CF ZECUSD_RTI minute-by-minute data. For each minute throughout the measurement period, a trimmed mean settlement value is calculated by removing the top and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset and averaging the remaining values. If the trimmed mean for any single minute falls at or below the specified threshold, the corresponding outcome resolves to Yes. This methodology mitigates the impact of extreme price volatility. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange specifies which version or ticker is tracked.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the ZEC July price floor market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for how low Zcash will trade during July. The interface displays current market probability, 24-hour trading volume of $52, and cumulative volume of $4,146 to help traders monitor sentiment around ZEC's monthly low. This market reflects collective trader expectations about Zcash's downside risk over the specified period, updated continuously as new trades execute.

Prediction market odds on this market represent trader consensus about ZEC's likely floor price in July, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed forward-looking expectations and tail-risk assessments. Comparing the implied probability here to recent ZEC trading ranges and analyst price targets can reveal whether traders expect more downside than the current market is pricing in, or conversely, whether they see support levels as more durable.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing different price floors for ZEC in July. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects real-time liquidity and disagreement among participants about where Zcash's monthly low will land. As new information emerges—regulatory news, network developments, or broader crypto market moves—traders adjust their positions, shifting the odds dynamically until the market resolves.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once July's price action is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by the lowest price ZEC reaches during the calendar month, verified against established exchange data and market records. Traders holding shares in the correct price floor bracket at resolution receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Major catalysts for this market include Zcash protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting privacy coins, shifts in broader cryptocurrency sentiment, and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. Technical developments—such as network security updates or exchange listings—can also influence trader expectations about ZEC's floor. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with altcoin floors, so tracking major crypto market trends provides early signals for how this market may shift before July concludes.