TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How low will HYPE get in August?
kalshi

How low will HYPE get in August?

Volume:
$4,768

Below $47.50

 - Kalshi

Below $47.50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below $47.50

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
$1,274
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $50.00

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
$608
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $45.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $42.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$394
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $40.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $35.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
$270
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $32.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$293
N/A
N/A
$293
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $37.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$273
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market tracks whether the price of the HYPE cryptocurrency will dip below various thresholds during August 2026. It examines price behavior over a defined period, focusing on whether temporary drops occur rather than sustained pricing levels. The outcome depends on real-time price fluctuations throughout the entire month.

Kalshi

These markets resolve to Yes if, at any point between issuance and 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, the minute-by-minute price of HYPE falls below the specified threshold. Settlement evaluates every minute's price using CF HYPEUSD_RTI data. For each minute, the top and bottom 20% of all recorded prices during the market period are excluded, and the remaining values are averaged to determine the settlement value for that minute. If this trimmed mean falls below the threshold for any minute, the market resolves to Yes. The measurement period begins at issuance and ends at the specified time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange specifies the exact version or ticker being tracked.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the HYPE price drop market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this prediction, alongside 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders view the potential decline in the HYPE token value throughout August, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The interface provides a clear view of probability shifts and liquidity changes, helping users monitor expectations for the upcoming price movement in the market.

Compared to traditional spot price forecasts from analysts or polls, prediction market odds offer a dynamic, crowd-sourced outlook shaped by real trading activity. While analysts might publish target levels or ranges, this market distills trader confidence into a probability curve that updates continuously. The current implied chance of a significant drop reflects aggregated bets rather than a single expert view, often diverging from poll averages when new information emerges.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official token metrics and reputable data sources to validate the final August closing price, determining whether the contracts settle for a drop or no-drop scenario. The exact cutoff and verification process follow Kalshi's standard rules for crypto-price events.

Key signals include major exchange announcements, tokenomics updates, regulatory news, or large-scale investor moves affecting HYPE's valuation. Positive or negative sentiment from influential community leaders, wallet inflows or outflows, and macro trends in the broader crypto market can also shift probabilities. Any surprise event that alters the perceived likelihood of a substantial price decline before Sep 1, 2026 may cause rapid repricing in this market.