TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How low will ETH get in June?
kalshi

How low will ETH get in June?

Volume:
$318,866

Below $1,500.00

 - Kalshi

Below $1,500.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below $1,500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163,873
N/A
N/A
$41,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $1,250.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,630
N/A
N/A
$31,916
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $1,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,467
N/A
N/A
$20,097
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $250.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,037
N/A
N/A
$8,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $750.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,068
N/A
N/A
$4,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,792
N/A
N/A
$4,271
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether the price of Ethereum will experience a significant decline by the end of June 2026. The market resolves affirmatively if ETH's price falls below any of several predetermined thresholds at any point during the specified timeframe.

Kalshi

Resolution uses CF ETHUSD_RTI price data sampled every minute from market issuance through 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. For each minute, a trimmed mean is calculated by removing the top and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset before averaging the remaining values. If any minute's trimmed mean falls below a strike's threshold, that strike resolves Yes. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected strikes resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include macroeconomic shocks (recession, rate hikes, credit events), regulatory announcements affecting crypto or staking, large liquidations or exchange outflows, shifts in Bitcoin correlation, and Ethereum-specific developments like network upgrades or validator exits. Technical breaks below key support levels often accelerate downside moves. Conversely, positive sentiment around institutional adoption, yield opportunities, or broader risk-on sentiment could push ETH higher and reduce the probability of breaching $250.00. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale accumulation, and derivative funding rates also signal directional conviction.