TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How low will ETH get in August?
kalshi

How low will ETH get in August?

Volume:
$115,037

Below $1,250.00

 - Kalshi

Below $1,250.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below $1,250.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,504
N/A
N/A
$38,626
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $1,500.00

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,831
N/A
N/A
$19,432
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $1,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,647
N/A
N/A
$9,908
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $250.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,982
N/A
N/A
$3,978
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $750.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,655
N/A
N/A
$1,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $500.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,417
N/A
N/A
$2,344
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Ethereum's price dips below various thresholds during August 2026. It examines the volatility of Ethereum by checking if, at any point in the specified timeframe, the price falls under set levels, providing insight into potential market downturns for the cryptocurrency.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Ethereum throughout the month of August 2026. For each threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' if Ethereum's price ever falls below the specified level at any minute during the period from market issuance through August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Prices are assessed using minute-by-minute data from CF ETHUSD_RTI, with a trimmed mean calculation employed to mitigate the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. Specifically, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are excluded before averaging the remaining values for each minute. If this trimmed mean for any single minute falls below the threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. The measurement period commences at market issuance and concludes at the specified end time. Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, the market resolves to 'No'. The exchange will clarify which version or ticker of Ethereum is being tracked if multiple versions exist.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the lowest ETH trading price recorded on major exchanges during August will determine the result. The process ensures an objective, transparent close, with data sourced from widely recognized platforms. Traders can track real-time price action leading up to Sep 1, 2026 to gauge likely outcomes, while the final verification occurs after August ends, allowing all August price data to be fully captured and validated.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Major crypto market updates—such as regulatory announcements, large institutional trades, or macroeconomic shifts—affect ETH’s price volatility and may alter expectations for August’s low. Positive developments like protocol upgrades or successful ETF approvals could boost confidence, narrowing the perceived chance of deep dips. Conversely, security breaches, exchange outages, or broad market sell-offs may increase bearish sentiment. Technical indicators, like key support level tests, also influence trader behavior. Monitoring news feeds, on-chain metrics, and macro calendars helps anticipate moves in this market.