TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How low will BTC get in August?
kalshi

How low will BTC get in August?

Volume:
$1,001,220

Below $60,000.00

 - Kalshi

Below $60,000.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Below $60,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$454,270
N/A
N/A
$197,220
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $57,500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179,644
N/A
N/A
$73,596
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $55,000.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,729
N/A
N/A
$65,364
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $52,500.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99,344
N/A
N/A
$53,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $50,000.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,221
N/A
N/A
$44,898
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $47,500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,658
N/A
N/A
$25,301
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $45,000.00

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,145
N/A
N/A
$13,207
Settled
No
kalshi

Below $42,500.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,209
N/A
N/A
$10,298
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks whether Bitcoin's price dips below specific thresholds at any point during August 2026. It uses minute-by-minute price checks to determine if the cryptocurrency's value falls under predefined levels, providing insight into potential volatility or bearish trends over the month.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Bitcoin throughout the entire month of August 2026, resolving to 'Yes' if the price ever falls below any specified level. For each market, the settlement mechanism continuously monitors Bitcoin's price on a minute-by-minute basis from issuance until 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026. At every minute, a trimmed mean is calculated by removing the top and bottom 20% of price data points and averaging the remaining values. If this adjusted price falls below the market's threshold at any point, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The rules consistently apply this methodology across all thresholds, ensuring uniform evaluation despite differing price levels.

Frequently asked questions

In this market, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment about Bitcoin's lowest point in August, often diverging from short-term spot price trends. While spot markets may show volatility, this market specifically aggregates expectations for the monthly low, which can appear more conservative or aggressive depending on broader market sentiment and macro factors.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks, driving the current implied probability. The platform calculates the market price based on available liquidity and recent trades, allowing participants to hedge or speculate on Bitcoin's August performance directly through Kalshi's trading interface.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect Bitcoin's actual lowest price during the specified period, removing any ambiguity through widely accepted data sources.

Several signals or events could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Major cryptocurrency exchange announcements, including listing updates or trading halts, might affect Bitcoin's price trajectory. Regulatory developments across key jurisdictions, including new guidelines or enforcement actions, often create short-term volatility. Additionally, macroeconomic indicators such as central bank policies or shifts in investor risk appetite can influence crypto markets broadly. On Kalshi, trader sentiment and positioning will react to these developments in real time, potentially altering the odds displayed for this market.