TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$266,367,375

24H TRANSACTIONS:

960,901,819

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,196,061,598

832,481

Markets across

15,126

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

961

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
H

How long will Trump speak during his Speech to the Nation?

Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 PM EST - Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$45,913
Volume 24h:
$42,733N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$38,636
1,291%
PredictionHero
10 or above 95%
kalshi
15 or above 86%
kalshi
20 or above 58%
kalshi
Jul 15, 04:00 PMJul 15, 06:00 PMJul 15, 09:00 PMJul 16, 12:00 AMJul 16, 03:00 AMJul 16, 06:00 AMJul 16, 10:00 AMJul 16, 01:00 PMJul 16, 04:00 PMJul 1…20406080100

Time left: 19h:09m:34s

How long will Donald Trump speak for at Speech to the Nation?

95%chance
Amount

$

$20

$50

$100

$500

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

Donald Trump will deliver a Speech to the Nation on July 17, 2026. The total duration of his spoken remarks will be measured to determine whether he speaks for specified minimum durations.

Kalshi

Speech duration is measured from the first audible word spoken by Trump to the last audible word spoken by Trump at the Speech to the Nation event before July 17, 2026. Pauses occurring between the first and last words are included in the total speaking time. Words captured on a hot microphone during Trump's entrance or exit are excluded from the measurement. The event contains multiple resolution thresholds at 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, and 50 minutes, with each threshold resolving independently based on whether the measured speaking duration meets or exceeds that specific duration.

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