TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 11:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting. If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting. If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through a decentralized betting mechanism that balances buy and sell orders. The current top outcome reflects the collective assessment of all participants on that platform. Market depth and liquidity influence how prices adjust to new information, and any significant news about the potential meeting could cause rapid shifts in the odds displayed here.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact duration of the handshake will be compared against the defined categories at that time. No further interpretation is needed beyond publicly available footage or official records of the meeting.
Any public announcement about a scheduled meeting between the two leaders could cause immediate movement in this market. Additionally, geopolitical developments, statements from advisors, or media speculation about the meeting’s agenda might shift trader sentiment. Even rumors of a changed schedule or cancellation could dramatically alter the odds as the Jul 31, 2026 deadline approaches.