TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 11:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Zcash (ZEC) will reach or exceed various price thresholds during July 2026. Traders can bet on ZEC hitting specific high prices at any point during the month through 11:59 PM ET on July 31st.
ZEC price levels are monitored continuously from market issuance through 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026 using CF ZECUSD_RTI minute-by-minute data. For each minute throughout the measurement period, a trimmed mean settlement value is calculated by removing the top and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset and averaging the remaining values. If the trimmed mean for any single minute reaches or exceeds the specified threshold, the corresponding outcome resolves to Yes. This methodology mitigates the impact of extreme price volatility. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange specifies which version or ticker is tracked.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about where Zcash will trade during July, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility assumptions. While spot markets price the asset today, this market embeds forward-looking sentiment about upside potential or downside risk over the coming weeks. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd expects a significant move or consolidation, helping traders calibrate their own conviction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different ZEC price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract represents a discrete outcome, and the bid-ask spread reflects real-time supply and demand. As new information emerges or market conditions shift, the price of each outcome adjusts instantly, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on Zcash's actual price movement during July, measured against the predefined thresholds embedded in the contract structure. Once the month concludes and price data is finalized, the winning outcome is determined and payouts are distributed to holders of the correct prediction.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting privacy coins, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin correlation changes, and Zcash-specific development milestones or adoption news. Technical levels and on-chain metrics such as transaction volume and holder concentration can also influence trader positioning. Market-wide events—Fed policy shifts, geopolitical developments, or competing layer-one upgrades—may reshape expectations about Zcash's relative performance, causing sharp repricing of the odds before resolution.