TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 10:34 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether the price of ZEC will surpass specific thresholds at any point in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different price level, and resolution depends on whether the price exceeds that level during the specified timeframe.
The markets resolve based on whether the price of ZEC exceeds specified thresholds at any moment between issuance and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Settlement evaluates minute-by-minute price data throughout the market duration. For each minute, a trimmed mean is calculated by removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of price data points, then averaging the remaining values. If this trimmed mean exceeds the threshold for any single minute, the market resolves to Yes. This trimmed mean approach mitigates the influence of extreme price spikes or drops. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, the market resolves to No. The specific ZEC version or ticker is predetermined by the Exchange.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated expectations of active traders, incorporating both public sentiment and market dynamics. While analysts may offer detailed reports based on fundamentals and technicals, this market captures a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook. Traders can watch for shifts in odds that signal changing perceptions, sometimes ahead of formal forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for ZEC’s value. The current probability reflects the collective bet of all traders on the platform, adjusting constantly with each new trade. This mechanism allows rapid price discovery that responds to both news and market movements.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official sources and widely accepted data points to determine the final result, ensuring an objective conclusion based on real-world information rather than speculation.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including major economic announcements, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrencies, technological upgrades specific to ZEC, and broader market trends in digital assets. Any news that influences investor confidence or changes the perceived value of ZEC may cause rapid adjustments in trading odds on Kalshi as participants react.