TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How high will NEAR get in 2026?
kalshi

How high will NEAR get in 2026?

Volume:
$17,046

Above $5.00

 - Kalshi

Above $5.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 8:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $5.00

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,759
N/A
N/A
$2,565
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.50

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,583
N/A
N/A
$3,368
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $4.00

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,597
N/A
N/A
$1,858
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $5.50

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,774
N/A
N/A
$1,343
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.50

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
$425
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $3.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$438
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$43
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $2.50

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets track whether the NEAR cryptocurrency will reach various price milestones by the end of 2026. Each outcome represents a different price threshold that, if surpassed at any point during the year, validates the prediction. The approach accounts for market volatility by using trimmed averages to filter out extreme fluctuations.

Kalshi

All markets resolve to Yes if, at any minute between issuance and December 31, 2026, the trimmed mean price of NEAR exceeds the specified threshold. The trimmed mean calculation removes the top and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute price data to mitigate the impact of outliers, ensuring a more stable assessment of price trends. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The measurement period spans from market issuance to the specified end time, with the Exchange defining the exact cryptocurrency version or ticker being tracked.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a crowdsourced probability that reflects real-time trader sentiment. While analysts may publish target prices or percentage chances based on research models, this market aggregates bets from participants who are financially committed to the outcome, often resulting in a different perspective on likely price movements.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current odds reflecting the collective belief about where NEAR will trade by the end of 2026. The market price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume and order flow, capturing the latest information and sentiment from participants.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual price of NEAR at the specified close of business on the last trading day of 2026, as reported by trusted, widely recognized financial data sources.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including major upgrades to the NEAR protocol, regulatory announcements affecting decentralized protocols, shifts in broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, and macroeconomic events that influence investor risk appetite. Any news that changes expectations for NEAR’s adoption, usage, or valuation could cause rapid movements in trading odds.