TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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How high will BNB get in 2026?
kalshi

How high will BNB get in 2026?

Volume:
$25,960

Above $630.00

 - Kalshi

Above $630.00 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 6:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $630.00

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,409
N/A
N/A
$557
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $640.00

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,822
N/A
N/A
$671
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $650.00

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,812
N/A
N/A
$949
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $620.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,199
N/A
N/A
$806
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $660.00

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$155
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $600.00

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,246
N/A
N/A
$1,216
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $670.00

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$96
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above $610.00

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$104
3mo 3d
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks whether the price of BNB, a cryptocurrency, will surpass specific thresholds at any point in 2026. The outcome depends on real-time price data filtered to reduce volatility effects, providing a clear measure of significant price milestones.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for BNB throughout the year 2026, resolving to 'Yes' if the price exceeds any specified level at any moment up to December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Each minute during the market period, the price is measured using minute-by-minute data from CF BNBUSD_RTI. To mitigate the influence of extreme fluctuations, the top and bottom 20% of price data points are excluded, and the average of the remaining values (trimmed mean) is calculated. If this trimmed mean surpasses the threshold for any given minute, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete by the expiration date, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The specific BNB version or ticker is predetermined by the Exchange.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price trends for the BNB price market, along with real-time updates on trading volume. It shows how participants on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of Jan 1, 2027. You can view current probability distributions, historical price paths, and 24-hour volume of $246 to gauge market momentum without leaving the page.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader sentiment and betting behavior. While analysts may publish target prices or percentage moves, this market reflects crowd-sourced expectations that can shift rapidly with news, macroeconomic data, or exchange updates. The current implied probability on Kalshi can diverge noticeably from consensus forecasts, providing a complementary view of market confidence.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely price range as judged by participants. Market depth and liquidity, indicated by a volume of $25,960, help set tight spreads. The platform’s pricing mechanism updates instantly, allowing users to see how new information influences odds before Jan 1, 2027.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be compared against the defined threshold, and the result will be finalized according to Kalshi's standard verification process at that time.

Several signals could shift expectations in this market before it resolves. Major announcements from Binance, regulatory developments affecting Binance Coin, or broad cryptocurrency market rallies may boost probabilities for higher price outcomes. Conversely, macroeconomic slowdowns, exchange-specific issues, or negative sentiment could push odds toward lower projections. Traders will watch on-chain metrics, trading volumes, and key support/resistance levels for early clues.