TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:04 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Home Depot's monthly credit card spend for August 2026 using data from Carbon Arc. The index reflects year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, with values above 100 indicating growth compared to the same month last year. The outcome depends on whether the reported spend exceeds specific thresholds.
All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend index for August 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from above 92 to above 102. If the reported index value for August 2026 exceeds the respective threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determination is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any corrections or revisions made after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change in U.S. store visits, with 100 representing equal visits to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate a decline. The data is derived from mobile location information across over 200 million devices, adjusted for seasonality, weather, and holidays, and updates daily.
Key signals include monthly retail sales reports, consumer confidence surveys, changes in interest rates, and any major economic announcements affecting consumer spending. Earnings reports from Home Depot or its competitors, as well as shifts in consumer behavior due to seasonal factors, could also cause price swings in this market before it settles.