TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
polymarket

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Volume:
$2,538,172

March 22

 - Polymarket

March 22 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

March 22

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,293,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 29

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 31

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 30

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 27

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 26

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 28

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 24

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 21

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 25

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 23

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.