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Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?
polymarket

Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?

Volume:
$58,811

Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?

 - Polymarket

Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.