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HBO App Downloads in August
kalshi

Will HBO App Downloads increase in August?

Volume:
$844

Above 74

 - Kalshi

Above 74 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 74

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 76.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 78.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$215
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 84

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 81

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks projected user engagement with the HBO streaming application for a specific month, comparing it against previous performance. It uses a standardized index to gauge growth or decline relative to historical data. Participants assess whether usage metrics will surpass certain thresholds, reflecting broader trends in viewer behavior and platform popularity.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Max: Stream HBO, TV, & Movies App Downloads index for August 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the reported index value exceeds the respective threshold (74, 76.5, 78.5, 81, or 84), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions do not alter the outcome. The index measures year-over-year performance, where a value of 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate a decline. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with HBO or the data provider, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price movements for the HBO App Downloads market, along with 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the expected number of app downloads for August, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and trading activity as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a crowdsourced probability that can diverge significantly based on real-time trading sentiment. While analysts may issue target ranges or qualitative outlooks, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust positions in reaction to news, app performance, and competitor activity, often leading to sharper or more nuanced expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be based on official download statistics for the relevant time frame, closing all bets at that point.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 14, 2026: major marketing campaigns or celebrity endorsements for the HBO app, unexpected changes in app store rankings, competitor product releases, or shifts in consumer streaming habits following new content drops. Any credible reports or data previews on August download trends would also cause rapid price adjustments among traders on Kalshi.