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Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election?

Volume:
$81,680

Jeff Beattie

 - Polymarket

Jeff Beattie - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 12:35 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jeff Beattie

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Heino Doessing

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Monique Taylor

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pascale Marchand

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Heather Curnew

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wieslawa Derlatka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Person A

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100¢
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Settled
No
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Person B

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Person C

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Person G

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Person H

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Person M

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
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Person N

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Q

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

Polymarket

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Hamilton East—Stoney Creek by-election race, along with 24-hour volume of $23,535. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around the likely winner, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the vote approaches. The interface updates continuously, letting users monitor volatility and liquidity around key polling dates and news events influencing the race.

Prediction market odds often diverge from polling averages due to bettor sentiment, liquidity constraints, and the weight traders place on recent developments. While polls provide a snapshot of voter intent, this market incorporates real-time money flows and can react faster to campaign momentum, controversies, or strategic endorsements. As a result, odds may over- or under-estimate poll leads, especially in low-volume periods or when sharp events occur.

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official vote counts, and the market settles accordingly, reflecting the final declared result from authoritative sources.

Debates, major campaign announcements, or shifts in polling data can move this market. Media coverage of candidate performance, controversies, or voter outreach efforts may also influence trader sentiment. As election day approaches, any significant changes in voter turnout expectations or last-minute endorsements could cause rapid price adjustments, especially with volume of $23,535 indicating active trading.