TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of Grubhub's food delivery app downloads for August 2026, comparing them to the same month in the previous year. The index value indicates growth or decline relative to the prior year's numbers, with higher values signifying stronger year-over-year increases.
All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Grubhub: Food Delivery App Downloads index for August 2026, specifically whether the reported value exceeds designated thresholds ranging from 115 to 133. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after market settlement will not alter the outcome. The index measures year-over-year changes, where a value of 100 indicates equal performance compared to the same month last year, with numbers above 100 denoting growth and below 100 indicating decline. It is important to note that Kalshi has no official affiliation with Grubhub or any associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will rely on official app store download data or reputable industry reports released after August, ensuring an objective and transparent close. Traders should monitor announcements from app analytics firms or tech news outlets as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major marketing campaigns, celebrity endorsements, or viral social media trends promoting the Grubhub app often cause short-term spikes in download expectations. Conversely, technical issues, negative press, or changes in competitor promotions may push odds downward. Economic announcements affecting consumer spending, or seasonal usage patterns around holidays, can also influence trader sentiment and volume in the coming weeks.