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Grok App Downloads in August 2026
kalshi

Grok App Downloads in August 2026

Volume:
$13,550

Above 20

 - Kalshi

Above 20 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,075
N/A
N/A
$910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,794
N/A
N/A
$3,002
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,901
N/A
N/A
$1,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,780
N/A
N/A
$1,036
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the projected performance of the Grok App in August 2026, focusing on download metrics relative to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on whether the reported download figures exceed specific thresholds, reflecting growth compared to historical data. The event uses a third-party index for measurement and settles based on the first reported value.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads index for August 2026 exceeds specified thresholds (20, 40, 60, or 80). Settlement is determined by the first value reported by Carbon Arc, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded. The index measures year-over-year performance, where a value of 100 indicates equal downloads compared to the same month in the prior year, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate a decline. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and company performance metrics, traders on Kalshi react to breaking news, app store rankings, and promotional activity in real time. This can lead to tighter odds or sharper movements ahead of key product launches or market shifts.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. The current odds reflect the collective bet of participants, adjusting dynamically to new information flows and volume changes. The market’s price history shows how expectations have evolved, giving insight into trader confidence or skepticism about download performance.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will be based on official app store download statistics for August 2026, ensuring an objective and transparent close. Traders should monitor reputable tech news outlets and app analytics firms for early signals of download trends.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major product announcements, celebrity endorsements, or viral marketing campaigns for the Grok app may boost download expectations and push odds toward higher outcomes. Conversely, technical issues, negative press, or strong competition from rival releases could drive prices down. Tracking app store rankings, social media buzz, and promotional calendars will help anticipate market moves.