TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grok 4.6 debut arena score
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Grok 4.6 debut arena score

Volume:
$7,702

above 1480

 - Kalshi

above 1480 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 11:56 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above 1480

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,793
N/A
N/A
$1,100
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1460

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,603
N/A
N/A
$1,474
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1465

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
$691
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1490

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$882
N/A
N/A
$490
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1485

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$678
N/A
N/A
$578
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1475

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$596
N/A
N/A
$581
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1470

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
$577
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1495

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
$328
19h 49m
No
kalshi

above 1500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
19h 49m
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This set of markets tracks the potential performance of Grok 4.6 on a standardized AI evaluation metric. The outcome depends on whether the model achieves specific benchmark scores within a defined timeframe. Each market corresponds to a progressively higher performance threshold.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on Grok 4.6's performance on the Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) evaluation before September 30, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 1460 to 1500), and the market resolves to Yes if Grok 4.6 achieves or exceeds its respective threshold before the deadline. When multiple qualifying models are released, the highest-scoring model among those released prior to the deadline determines resolution for all markets. Models introduced after the initial qualifying release are disregarded for resolution purposes. The governing body for score validation is the Arena AI platform, and all trademark rights remain with their respective owners. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or evaluation framework.