TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Grab monthly transacting users in Q2
kalshi

Grab monthly transacting users in Q2

Volume:
$37,745

above 52.5 million

 - Kalshi

above 52.5 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 8:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

above 52.5 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,264
N/A
N/A
$1,879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 53 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,211
N/A
N/A
$1,754
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 53.5 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,658
N/A
N/A
$1,927
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 52 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
Yes
kalshi

above 54 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,462
N/A
N/A
$22,792
Settled
No
kalshi

above 54.5 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,087
N/A
N/A
$1,026
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Grab Holdings Limited will report monthly transacting users exceeding 52 million in the second quarter of 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome carries a probability of 97.0%. Resolution will be determined by Grab's official Q2 2026 financial reporting, which discloses monthly transacting user metrics as the key engagement indicator for the Southeast Asian platform. Watch for Grab's earnings announcement on or around August 28, 2026, when the company is expected to release its Q2 2026 results.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Grab Holdings Limited's reported monthly transacting users in Q2 2026. The event contains six tiered outcomes at progressively higher user thresholds: above 52 million, above 52.5 million, above 53 million, above 53.5 million, above 54 million, and above 54.5 million. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome. Resolution depends on the company's official financial reporting for the specified quarter, with each outcome resolving Yes if the reported figure exceeds its corresponding threshold.

Frequently asked questions

The Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether Grab Holdings Limited will report above 52.5 million monthly transacting users in Q2 2026. The dashboard displays the current probability, historical price movements, and $29,440 in 24-hour volume to help traders monitor market sentiment. Total cumulative volume across this event stands at $37,745, reflecting sustained trader interest in Grab's user growth metrics. This data updates continuously, enabling participants to assess consensus expectations around Grab's operational scale during the second quarter.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect trader expectations about Grab's Q2 2026 monthly transacting users, offering a real-time alternative to traditional analyst forecasts. While sell-side research typically publishes quarterly guidance with longer revision cycles, prediction markets aggregate distributed information from active traders continuously. The current market probability provides a dynamic benchmark that may diverge from published analyst consensus, particularly as earnings season approaches or new operational data emerges. Comparing the two approaches reveals how market participants weigh forward guidance differently than institutional equity analysts.

The Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 market on Kalshi resolves on Aug 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by Grab Holdings Limited's official Q2 2026 earnings report and financial disclosures. The outcome hinges on whether the company's reported monthly transacting users figure exceeds the 52.5 million threshold specified in the contract. Traders should monitor Grab's investor relations announcements and SEC filings for the definitive metric, as this will trigger settlement.

Several catalysts could shift market pricing for Grab's Q2 monthly transacting users. Quarterly earnings beats or misses from comparable ride-hailing and fintech peers may reset growth expectations. Grab's own pre-announcements, management commentary, or investor day presentations could signal user momentum. Macroeconomic conditions in Southeast Asia, regulatory changes affecting ride-sharing or payments, and competitive dynamics with regional rivals all influence user acquisition and retention. Additionally, any strategic partnerships, geographic expansion, or product launches announced before Q2 close could materially impact transacting user counts and trader positioning.