TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?
polymarket

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?

Volume:
$45,879

↑ $3.90

 - Polymarket

↑ $3.90 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $3.90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $6.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $5.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $5.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $3.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $3.50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4.75

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $3.60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $3.70

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $4.00

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $4.25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $3.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.00

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $2.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $3.50

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks whether rental prices for Nvidia H200 GPUs will decline to $3.50 per unit or lower, as measured by the Ornn H200 Index. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that prices hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026—stands at 94.0%, while the deeper decline to $3.00 carries just 2.9% probability. Resolution will be determined by daily finalized data from the Ornn H200 Index chart at dashboard.ornnai.com, with the market resolving as soon as the target price is reached or once May 31, 2026 data is published. Watch for sustained GPU supply increases or shifts in enterprise demand through the end of May 2026 to signal whether rental prices will compress to these levels.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations for H200 rental prices, often incorporating faster-moving sentiment than traditional analyst reports. While equity research firms and cloud infrastructure analysts publish quarterly forecasts on GPU pricing trends, prediction markets aggregate live information from participants with direct exposure to these markets. Comparing the current market probability to published analyst price targets can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than consensus. This divergence often signals emerging catalysts or data that formal forecasts have not yet fully incorporated.

H200 rental prices are sensitive to shifts in GPU supply from manufacturers, data center capacity announcements, and enterprise AI adoption rates. Major cloud providers' quarterly earnings calls and infrastructure investment guidance can trigger repricing. Geopolitical developments affecting semiconductor exports, competitor GPU launches, or shifts in AI workload demand also influence expectations. Announcements from Nvidia on H200 production volumes or pricing strategy carry outsized impact. Additionally, macroeconomic conditions affecting enterprise IT spending and cloud infrastructure budgets may compress or expand rental rates. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate market moves before May 31, 2026.