TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether rental prices for NVIDIA B200 GPUs will reach $6.00 on the Ornn B200 Index by the end of May 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that prices will hit this level—stands at 73.0%. Resolution will be determined by daily finalized price data from the Ornn B200 Index chart available at dashboard.ornnai.com. Watch for the publication of daily data points through May 31, 2026, as the market will resolve as soon as the $6.00 threshold is reached or once the final day's value is confirmed.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations, which often diverge from published analyst forecasts on B200 rental pricing. While traditional equity analysts and cloud infrastructure consultants may issue point estimates based on supply-chain models and demand projections, prediction markets incorporate real-time information and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to consensus analyst views reveals whether traders expect faster or slower B200 price movement than expert consensus. This gap can signal either market inefficiency or forward-looking trader insight into GPU supply dynamics and enterprise adoption trends.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined based on whether B200 GPU rental prices have hit the specified threshold. Resolution hinges on verified pricing data from major cloud providers and GPU rental platforms at or before the deadline. Traders should monitor official announcements and data sources as the end date approaches to understand how the outcome will be adjudicated. The binary structure means the market will settle to either yes or no, with payouts distributed accordingly to holders of the winning outcome.
Key catalysts include NVIDIA supply announcements, data center capacity expansions, and enterprise AI adoption rates, all of which influence B200 rental demand and pricing. Cloud provider pricing decisions—especially from AWS, Google Cloud, and Lambda Labs—directly impact market-clearing rates. Macroeconomic shifts affecting enterprise IT budgets, competitive GPU launches, and changes in AI workload distribution can shift trader expectations. Geopolitical developments affecting semiconductor supply chains, regulatory actions on AI compute access, and major AI model releases that spike demand for B200 resources will likely drive significant odds movement. Real-time monitoring of cloud pricing pages and industry reports helps traders anticipate resolution outcomes.