TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for June 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for June 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders actively pricing GPU rental expectations. Analyst forecasts from cloud infrastructure firms and semiconductor research groups typically focus on supply-chain constraints, data-center utilization, and competitive pricing pressure. Market odds often incorporate forward-looking signals faster than published analyst reports, since traders respond immediately to news about chip availability and enterprise demand. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in more optimism or caution than expert consensus, and can highlight gaps between institutional forecasts and decentralized trader sentiment on B200 rental rates.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, GPU rental prices (B200) end of June is priced as an automated market maker contract, where traders buy and sell shares representing discrete price outcomes or ranges. The current odds reflect the ratio of liquidity and trading activity across each outcome bucket. As traders place orders, the price adjusts dynamically to balance supply and demand. The market aggregates information from participants with varying views on data-center economics, B200 chip availability, and competitive rental dynamics. Prices move in real time as new developments—such as supply announcements or enterprise adoption signals—shift trader expectations about where B200 rental rates will settle by month-end.
The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026, marking the official end of the prediction period for B200 GPU rental pricing. Resolution is determined by reference data on actual rental rates offered by major cloud providers and GPU-as-a-service platforms at that time. The specific outcome category—whether prices fall into a particular range or exceed a threshold—is settled based on verified pricing from authoritative industry sources. Traders should monitor provider announcements and market reports leading up to the resolution date to track whether rental rates are moving toward the outcomes they have backed.
Key catalysts include NVIDIA supply announcements affecting B200 chip availability, data-center expansion plans from major cloud providers, and shifts in enterprise AI demand. Competitive pricing moves by Crusoe, Lambda Labs, or other GPU rental platforms can signal margin pressure or rate cuts. Macroeconomic factors—such as changes in cloud infrastructure spending or AI workload migration patterns—also influence rental economics. Regulatory developments around data-center power consumption or export controls on advanced chips may constrain supply. Additionally, announcements of new GPU models or architectural improvements could pressure B200 rates downward. Traders should track earnings calls, industry conferences, and supply-chain reports for signals about utilization rates and pricing power through June.