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GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
predict

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

Oct 1, 2026, 8:36 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$17,902
Volume 24h:
$3,354N/A
Liquidity:
$32,895
0.65%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

December 31

 - Predict

December 31 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 86¢ buys you 116 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $116 | Net Profit: $16 Multiplier: 1.16x | ROI: 16% | APY: 127% 67 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31

Trade
85%
Yes 86¢No 16¢
2¢
$24,873
$3,014
0%
108%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
predict

October 31

Trade
10%
Yes 11¢No 92¢
3¢
$3,324
$5,147
0.81%
57%
N/A
2mo 1w
active
predict

October 23

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22
$7,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w
No
predict

October 9

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$12
$1,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w
No
predict

October 16

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,665
$958
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 1w
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI general-purpose model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI general-purpose model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the GPT Astra 6.1 release market tracks the current odds of various entities being the first to release GPT Astra 6.1+, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $17,902. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and activity surrounding the potential release of this new model. The dashboard provides a clear overview of where the crowd is placing its bets.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and are often qualitative. However, prediction markets like this one often aggregate a diverse range of information and opinions, potentially offering a more accurate probabilistic assessment than any single analyst’s prediction. If analysts widely believe a specific entity is unlikely to release GPT Astra 6.1+, we would expect to see lower odds for that entity in this market. Conversely, strong analyst confidence would likely translate to higher odds.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The current price represents the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in this market.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first release of GPT Astra 6.1+ is verified against credible public reporting. The market will determine which entity is officially recognized as the first to release a version of GPT Astra 6.1+ meeting the established criteria. Resolution will be based on publicly available information and widely accepted definitions of a release, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. The market's resolution will reflect the consensus view of the event's occurrence.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from leading AI labs regarding their development progress, leaks of technical specifications, or reports of breakthroughs in AI research could all shift the odds. Unexpected delays or setbacks in development, such as resource constraints or technical challenges, could also move the market. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding specific entities and their AI capabilities would likely influence trader sentiment, and therefore, the prices in this market. Any credible information regarding the timeline for GPT Astra 6.1+’s release will be closely watched.