TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
Google share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

Google share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$22,117

Above 15.6%

 - Kalshi

Above 15.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 15.6%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,604
N/A
N/A
$4,104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 11.8%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,197
N/A
N/A
$3,197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 14.4%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,346
N/A
N/A
$2,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 13.1%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,479
N/A
N/A
$1,479
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 16.8%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,109
N/A
N/A
$3,109
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 21.8%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,420
N/A
N/A
$2,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.9%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,950
N/A
N/A
$1,950
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20.2%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,912
N/A
N/A
$1,911
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 19.0%

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI processing requests handled by Google through Vercel’s infrastructure on a specific future date. It reflects potential shifts in how leading research institutions allocate their computational resources among cloud service providers. The outcome depends on measured usage statistics rather than predictions or estimates.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the actual Google Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top labs on October 4, 2026, measured and rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the result at 10:00 AM ET on October 5, 2026, using the officially updated chart value for that date. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 11.8% to 21.8%); if the measured share exceeds a given threshold, the corresponding market settles as "Yes," otherwise it settles as "No." All markets share identical data sources, timing, and rounding methodology, with Kalshi explicitly stating no affiliation with Vercel or any rights to its intellectual property.