TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Google's weekly market share performance on a specific platform, focusing on whether it surpasses various percentage thresholds. The outcome depends on publicly available data for a defined week, reflecting competitive dynamics in the technology sector.
All markets in this event resolve based on Google's market share percentage on OpenRouter for text generation by model author during the week of August 31, 2026. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following the relevant week. If Google’s market share exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 19% to 23%) for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If Google’s share is not separately identified—and is grouped under a general "Others" category—all markets resolve to No. These markets are independent assessments and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing benchmark or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
On Kalshi, the odds in this market often reflect a blend of recent performance data and forward-looking expectations, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may incorporate broader industry trends or longer-term metrics, while traders in this market focus on short-term movements and immediate news that could affect Google’s share this week.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the most reliable and widely accepted data sources tracking Google’s market share for the relevant week.
Key signals that could shift this market include major product announcements, quarterly earnings reports, competitive moves from rivals, or significant changes in search algorithm updates. Any news affecting user engagement or search volume for Google this week may cause rapid adjustments in trading activity and implied probabilities on Kalshi before settlement.