TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on June 26 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on June 26 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they aggregate real-money bets from a broad set of traders rather than relying on a small group of equity researchers. Analysts typically publish quarterly or annual forecasts with longer time horizons, whereas this market crystallizes a specific outcome by a fixed date. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in near-term catalysts—such as earnings, regulatory news, or macroeconomic shifts—that analysts may not have fully reflected in their recent guidance.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of yes and no outcomes in an automated market maker (AMM) pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see is determined by the ratio of liquidity on each side; as more capital flows into one outcome, the odds shift to reflect the new balance. This continuous pricing mechanism means the market can adjust rapidly in response to breaking news, earnings announcements, or shifts in trader sentiment about Google's stock performance.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the trading day concludes and Google's closing price is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether GOOGL closes above the specified price level on that date. Resolution typically occurs within hours of market close, allowing traders to see final payouts quickly.
Major catalysts include Google's quarterly earnings reports, announcements of new AI products or regulatory actions, changes in advertising market conditions, and broader tech sector movements. Macroeconomic data—interest rate decisions, inflation reports, or recession signals—can also shift sentiment around large-cap tech stocks. Insider trading disclosures, activist investor activity, or significant management changes would likely trigger sharp repricing. Real-time news flow and options market activity often precede large moves in this market.